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The rise of AfD in Germany: A spatial econometrics approach

Konstantinis, Alvertos (2021) The rise of AfD in Germany: A spatial econometrics approach. Master thesis.

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Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to examine the possible macroeconomic parameters that give rise to Eurosceptic, far-right phenomena. We focus our analysis on the case of “Alternative für Deutschland” and, more specifically, on the 2019 European parliament election results. Methodologically, we use a spatial econometrics approach to overcome some methodological limitations of a typical OLS model and in order to examine possible “spillover” or indirect effects. From a theoretical point of view, we stress the “losers of modernization” or “losers of globalization” theory for which we find evidence to support while, we also control for other typical parameters that they possibly contribute to the rise of the far-right, such as age, proportion of foreigners or rurality. Finally, we compare our results for AfD with traditional democratic powers in German polity such as the CDU/CSU, the Die Linke and the Grüne in order to understand the distinctive elements of the far-right populism.

Item Type: Thesis (Master)
Degree programme: Spatial Sciences (Research)
Supervisor: Ballas, D. and Elhorst, J.P.
Date Deposited: 01 Sep 2021 11:38
Last Modified: 01 Sep 2021 11:38
URI: https://frw.studenttheses.ub.rug.nl/id/eprint/3697

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