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The Effect of Rural-to-Urban Migration on Fertility Ideals in Ethiopia and Nigeria

Pohl, M.L.C. (2022) The Effect of Rural-to-Urban Migration on Fertility Ideals in Ethiopia and Nigeria. Master thesis.

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Abstract

This thesis aims to answer the question, “What effects does rural-to-urban migration in Ethiopia and Nigeria have on the fertility ideals of women?”. As fertility intentions and birth rates remain high in Sub-Saharan Africa, significant research attention has been granted to the fertility transition and the continued uncertainty about the future trajectories of fertility and population dynamics of countries in this region. However, less research has focused on the interplay between internal migration, fertility, and urbanization. This research uses comparative descriptive analysis and multinomial logistic regression analysis to explore the effect of migration status, individual characteristics, economic factors, and dimensions of female empowerment on fertility ideals in Ethiopia and Nigeria. The countries were selected as they have large and growing populations and represent heterogeneity in sub-regional characteristics concerning the fertility transition, internal migration, and urbanization. Fertility ideals were chosen as the focus of the study as they can be used as an indicator for future fertility behavior. Data used for the analysis were obtained from the Demographic and Health Standard Surveys. The analysis reveals mixed results. Differences in fertility ideals across migration status are not statistically significant in Ethiopia; however, in Nigeria, rural-to-urban migrants appear to adhere to the social norms of their upbringing. Determinants of fertility, such as educational attainment, wealth, and female empowerment, moderate the relationship between ideal fertility and internal migration in both countries. The regression further reveals significant differences in fertility ideals across cultural groups.

Item Type: Thesis (Master)
Degree programme: Population Studies
Supervisor: Wissen, L.J.G. van
Date Deposited: 27 Jul 2022 10:42
Last Modified: 11 Oct 2022 12:09
URI: https://frw.studenttheses.ub.rug.nl/id/eprint/3928

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