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A complex adaptive system perspective on flood risk management: A case study in the municipality of Leeuwarden

Post, Tomas (2019) A complex adaptive system perspective on flood risk management: A case study in the municipality of Leeuwarden. Master thesis.

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Abstract

This research explores to what extent flood risk managers in Leeuwarden are experiencing events and influences that are complementary with complex adaptive system theory. Complex adaptive system theory emphasises a constantly evolving world that is able to organise itself without control. The research shows that the policy documents mainly focus scenarios and not on uncertainty. However, flood risk managers in practice experience uncertainty and developments that are complementary with complex adaptive system theory. In practice, there is awareness of fundamental uncertainty, but robust measures and calculations remove a lot of uncertainties in the current situation. However, flood risk managers are still subject to unknown events and this will increase when future climate change is taken into consideration. The use of complex adaptive system theory gives insights in uncertainty and can motivate flood risk managers to shift towards a more adaptive and transformative approach of dealing with uncertainty.

Item Type: Thesis (Master)
Degree programme: Environmental & Infrastructure Planning
Supervisor: Roo, G. de
Date Deposited: 23 Apr 2020 05:12
Last Modified: 23 Apr 2020 05:12
URI: https://frw.studenttheses.ub.rug.nl/id/eprint/73

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