eprintid: 1703
rev_number: 1
eprint_status: archive
userid: 1
dir: disk0/00/00/17/03
datestamp: 2020-04-23 05:30:48
lastmod: 2020-04-23 05:30:48
status_changed: 2020-04-23 05:30:48
type: thesis
metadata_visibility: show
creators_name: Van der Hoef, E
title: Kenya takes  the lead: forecasting the fertility transitions in Eastern Africa
ispublished: pub
full_text_status: public
abstract: This thesis aims to answer the question: How can the fertility transition of Kenya be used to predict those of other similar countries? The fertility transition of Kenya has been identified as a forerunner in the Eastern African region. The question is answered in three steps: first, the trends of selected indicators in Malawi, Burundi, Zambia, Mozambique, Rwanda, Tanzania, Ethiopia, Uganda and Zimbabwe are compared to the Kenyan trends. The indicators that influence the TFR and were chosen based on the extensive body of literature on the subject are (1) educational attainment of women, (2) contraceptive prevalence, (3) family planning programmes success, (4) Infant Mortality rate and (5) HIV/AIDS prevalence. Second, the steepness of the curve is calculated, and projected until 2050. Last, the outcomes of these projections are compared to the UN Prognoses. The data are from the Demographic and Health Survey and the UN Estimates and Prognoses.
date: 2016
date_type: published
thesis_type: master
degree_programme: POPST
tutors_name: Wissen, Prof. L. van
keywords_local: Demographic and Health Survey; United Nations Estimates; Pro
keywords_local: Fertility transition; Eastern Africa; Kenya; TFR; projection
language_iso: en
titleorder: Kenya takes  the lead: forecasting the fertility transitions in Eastern Africa
dbi: 57d13df458cf6
imported_item: yes
date_of_import: 2020-04-22
imported_from: http://scripties.frw.eldoc.ub.rug.nl/root/ma/PopSt/2016/evanderhoef/
import_source_file: theses-frw-20200422132454-57d13df458cf6.xml
date_issued: 2016-01-01
description_company: NIDI
citation:   Van der Hoef, E  (2016) Kenya takes the lead: forecasting the fertility transitions in Eastern Africa.  Master thesis.   
document_url: https://frw.studenttheses.ub.rug.nl/1703/1/Thesis_FT_Kenya_for_Eastern_Af_1.pdf