Postma, Bram (2023) How economic and demographic drivers influence residential development in the Netherlands. Bachelor thesis.
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Abstract
Residential development in The Netherlands has been a very prominent topic of discussion in recent years as well as over the past two decades. Currently, the amount of housing stock is insufficient to fulfil the needs of the population of the country. This shortage has led to an incremental national housing plan, that will be put into action in the coming decade. However, although the relevant drivers of housing supply are well understood in general terms, empirical analyses at the local scale are scarce. A more comprehensive outlook on the reasons behind residential development is necessary, as a surplus of knowledge in this field could lead to a better overall understanding. In order to obtain more insight of the drivers behind housing development, this study analyses the key demographic and economic factors, by examining municipal differences in realised housing development. This is measured in the amount of building permits granted per municipality. In specific, regression analysis is used to assess drivers of the amount of building permits, which results in the finalization of a model. The analysis on building permits originates from 2012-2019 CBS (Centraal Bureau voor Statistiek) data. The results indicate that GDP per capita, developable land, population development and age structure significantly contribute to the amount of building permits granted per municipality. Population development per municipality explains about 90% of the variance of the amount of building permits granted. This somewhat contrasted the expectations of the results, as theory suggested GDP and amount of developable land would have a larger explanatory impact than measured. Using the Life Cycle Theory, a relationship between age and residential development was to be expected. The outcomes of this study may inform policy makers who seek to implement drivers for residential development in their planning process.
| Item Type: | Thesis (Bachelor) |
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| Degree programme: | Human Geography and Planning |
| Supervisor: | Daams, M.N. |
| Date Deposited: | 21 Feb 2023 08:28 |
| Last Modified: | 21 Feb 2023 08:28 |
| URI: | https://frw.studenttheses.ub.rug.nl/id/eprint/4131 |
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