Frowijn, Luuk (2023) Fertility mosaic: explaining fertility differences between Dutch municipalities. Master thesis.
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Abstract
In the Netherlands, fertility has dropped well below the replacement level since the 1970s, and in 2022 natural population growth has ceased. Despite low average fertility rates, there are regional differences in fertility. The current research aims to explain these regional differences in fertility. Multiple linear regression models using macro data on Dutch municipalities were used to explain municipal fertility rates by examining the influence of different demographic, cultural, socio-economical, contextual, and temporal factors. In line with the compositional theory, the analysis shows that differences in fertility are significantly explained by differences in demographic, cultural and socio-economic composition between municipalities. However, in contrast to the hypotheses, when accounting for both compositional and contextual factors, the contextual factors do not significantly predict municipal fertility rates. This indicates that there is no direct effect of the contextual factors on municipal fertility, but rather an indirect effect through compositional factors. Additionally, the analysis shows a positive relationship between earlier fertility in a municipality and current fertility, suggesting that differences in municipal fertility are persistent over time.
| Item Type: | Thesis (Master) |
|---|---|
| Degree programme: | Population Studies |
| Supervisor: | Mulder, C.H. |
| Date Deposited: | 25 Aug 2023 11:24 |
| Last Modified: | 25 Aug 2023 11:24 |
| URI: | https://frw.studenttheses.ub.rug.nl/id/eprint/4332 |
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